GDP, quarterly
2026Q3+0.39% QoQ
80% band -0.03 … +0.63
quarter-end readrelease ~2026-10-30beats benchmark
Backtest: MAE 0.25 · 84% of AR error · direction 86% · n=71
Euro Area
LiveENTSO-E power demand, Eurocontrol flight traffic, OECD weekly tracker
Euro Area Nowcast
updated 2026-10-15Model estimates of not-yet-published official statistics, updated daily through each release cycle. Accuracy shown is each model’s own out-of-sample backtest.
Industrial production
2026-09+0.16% MoM
80% band -1.22 … +1.37
pre-release readrelease ~2026-11-13at benchmark — experimental
Backtest: MAE 0.767 · 101% of AR error · direction 59% · n=184
Retail sales
2026-09+0.19% MoM
80% band -0.45 … +0.88
pre-release readrelease ~2026-11-06beats benchmark
Backtest: MAE 0.415 · 94% of AR error · direction 64% · n=184
Unemployment rate
2026-09-0.01pp change→ 6.4% rate
80% band -0.10 … +0.06
pre-release readrelease ~2026-11-01beats benchmark
Backtest: MAE 0.053 · 88% of AR error · direction 43% · n=184
Staggered combination of an official-data block, a survey/indicator bridge and an autoregressive benchmark, re-weighted through the data release cycle. Backtests are walk-forward against the latest vintage; pandemic-window observations are excluded from estimation and shown separately. Sources: Eurostat, European Commission surveys, public high-frequency data.
High Speed vs Official Macro
High-speed series (gold, left axis) shown against the official statistics they lead (dark, right axis). Last 4 years.
Flight Activity vs GDP
Daily vs QuarterlyJob Postings vs Unemployment
Daily vs MonthlyAll Euro Area High-Speed Indicators
Freshness F (25)8 datasets tracked. 20 series with seasonal factors. Last 5 years shown.
RoboMacro Euro Area Weekly Activity Index: latest value 40.5 on 9 Oct 2026. Trend: falling.
View
Smoothing
Sector
Indeed Job Postings
Fresh · 2026-10-09Daily
Mean of DE, FR, IT, ES, NL postings indices, SA, Feb 2020 = 100 (Indeed Hiring Lab).
Daily Flights
Fresh · 2026-10-15Daily
Sum of flights across 19 euro-area states (Eurocontrol). Daily, back to 2022 — stitched from the Eurocontrol dashboard plus the airport-traffic census.
Port calls (all vessels)
Warning · 2026-10-09Daily
IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Euro Area.
Maritime imports (est. tons)
Warning · 2026-10-09Daily
IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Euro Area.
Maritime exports (est. tons)
Warning · 2026-10-09Daily
IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Euro Area.
Container ship calls
Warning · 2026-10-09Daily
IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Euro Area.
Tanker calls
Warning · 2026-10-09Daily
IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Euro Area.
Dry-bulk ship calls
Warning · 2026-10-09Daily
IMF PortWatch — daily, with 28-day average and YoY%. Euro Area.
