Model estimates of not-yet-published official statistics, updated daily through each release cycle. Accuracy shown is each model’s own out-of-sample backtest.
GDP, quarterly nowcast for 2026Q3: +2.60% QoQ ann., 80% band +0.33 to +4.84. Backtest MAE 1.416% QoQ ann. over 138 periods.
Backtest: MAE 0.099 · 92% of AR error · direction 48% · n=412
Staggered combination of an official-data block, a survey/indicator bridge and an autoregressive benchmark, re-weighted through the data release cycle. Backtests are walk-forward against the latest vintage; pandemic-window observations are excluded from estimation and shown separately. Sources: BEA, BLS, Census Bureau, Federal Reserve, public high-frequency data.
High Speed vs Official Macro
High-speed series (gold, left axis) shown against the official statistics they lead (dark, right axis). Last 4 years.
Activity Index vs GDP
Weekly vs Quarterly
Activity Index vs GDP. US Activity Index (Weekly): Latest: 53.0 (21 Aug 2026) | Range: 40.4 to 61.4 | Trend: rising; Weekly Economic Index (Weekly): Latest: 2.85 (22 Aug 2026) | Range: 1.06 to 3.22 | Trend: falling; Real GDP QoQ Annualized % (BEA) (Quarterly, %): Latest: 1.50 (30 Jun 2026) | Range: -0.60 to 4.70 | Trend: falling.
US Activity IndexWeekly(L)
Weekly Economic IndexWeekly(L)
Real GDP QoQ Annualized % (BEA)Quarterly(R)
Weekly activity composite (50 = neutral) and the NY Fed Weekly Economic Index against official quarterly GDP growth (annualized).
Daily federal withheld income & employment tax deposits track aggregate wage income, the main driver of retail spending; shown against official retail sales growth.
All United States High-Speed Indicators
Freshness F (31)
55 datasets tracked. 74 series with seasonal factors. Last 5 years shown.
RoboMacro US Activity Index: latest value 53.0 on 21 Aug 2026. Trend: rising.
RoboMacro US Activity Index
53.0
21 Aug 2026
View
Smoothing
Sector
Weekly Economic Index
Fresh · 2026-08-27Weekly
NY Fed / Dallas Fed WEI — scaled to 4-quarter GDP growth (FRED).
Weekly Economic Index. Weekly Economic Index: Latest: 2.85 (22 Aug 2026) | Range: 1.06 to 6.80 | Trend: falling.
Jobless Claims
Fresh · 2026-08-27Weekly
Initial (left) and continued (right) unemployment insurance claims, SA (FRED).
Jobless Claims. Initial jobless claims: Latest: 203,000 (22 Aug 2026) | Range: 189,000 to 375,000 | Trend: falling; Continued jobless claims: Latest: 1,778,000 (15 Aug 2026) | Range: 1,344,000 to 2,803,000 | Trend: falling.
Federal Withheld Tax Deposits
Warning · 2026-08-27Daily
28-day rolling sum (left, headline) vs daily deposits (right), $M — Daily Treasury Statement. History from Feb 2023.
Federal Withheld Tax Deposits. Federal tax deposits: withheld income & employment taxes ($M, daily): Latest: 4,429 (27 Aug 2026) | Range: 2,152 to 65,935 | Trend: broadly flat; Withheld income & employment tax deposits (28-day rolling sum, $M): Latest: 268,100 (27 Aug 2026) | Range: 194,452 to 388,053 | Trend: falling.
Indeed Job Postings
Fresh · 2026-08-21Daily
Total US job postings, SA, Feb 2020 = 100 (Indeed Hiring Lab).
Indeed Job Postings. Indeed job postings index (US, SA, Feb 2020 = 100): Latest: 102 (21 Aug 2026) | Range: 100 to 161 | Trend: falling.
Petroleum Products Supplied
Fresh · 2026-08-21Weekly
Weekly product supplied, kb/d — total and gasoline (EIA).
Petroleum Products Supplied. US gasoline product supplied (kb/d): Latest: 9,043 (21 Aug 2026) | Range: 7,514 to 9,724 | Trend: falling; US total petroleum products supplied (kb/d): Latest: 20,948 (21 Aug 2026) | Range: 17,627 to 23,191 | Trend: rising.
TSA Checkpoint Travelers
Fresh · 2026-08-30Daily
Daily passengers screened at US airport checkpoints (TSA).
TSA Checkpoint Travelers. TSA checkpoint travelers (daily): Latest: 2,551,084 (30 Aug 2026) | Range: 1,534,786 to 3,096,797 | Trend: rising.
Financial Conditions (NFCI)
Fresh · 2026-08-27Weekly
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index — positive = tighter than average.
Financial Conditions (NFCI). Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index: Latest: -0.57 (21 Aug 2026) | Range: -0.65 to -0.10 | Trend: rising.
United States M2 Money Stock (weekly)
Warning · 2026-08-03Weekly
United States M2 money stock, weekly ($bn, NSA) (FRED).
United States M2 Money Stock (weekly). United States M2 money stock, weekly ($bn, NSA): Latest: 23,208 (3 Aug 2026) | Range: 20,599 to 23,251 | Trend: rising.
United States Reserve Balances With Federal Reserve
Fresh · 2026-08-26Weekly
United States reserve balances with Federal Reserve banks ($M, weekly) (FRED).
United States Reserve Balances With Federal Reserve. United States reserve balances with Federal Reserve banks ($M, weekly): Latest: 2,924,936 (26 Aug 2026) | Range: 2,830,144 to 4,275,806 | Trend: falling.
United States St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
Fresh · 2026-08-21Weekly
United States St. Louis Fed financial stress index (weekly) (FRED).
United States St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index. United States St. Louis Fed financial stress index (weekly): Latest: -0.81 (21 Aug 2026) | Range: -0.97 to 1.12 | Trend: broadly flat.
United States CBOE Volatility Index VIX
Warning · 2026-08-27Daily
United States CBOE volatility index VIX (daily) (FRED).
United States CBOE Volatility Index VIX. United States CBOE volatility index VIX (daily): Latest: 14.5 (27 Aug 2026) | Range: 11.9 to 52.3 | Trend: broadly flat.
Coupons and Promo Codes
Weekly
Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, United States.
