Model estimates of not-yet-published official statistics, updated daily through each release cycle. Accuracy shown is each model’s own out-of-sample backtest.
GDP, quarterly nowcast for 2026Q3: +2.42% QoQ ann., 80% band +0.39 to +4.50. Backtest MAE 1.299% QoQ ann. over 138 periods.
Backtest: MAE 0.099 · 92% of AR error · direction 48% · n=414
Staggered combination of an official-data block, a survey/indicator bridge and an autoregressive benchmark, re-weighted through the data release cycle. Backtests are walk-forward against the latest vintage; pandemic-window observations are excluded from estimation and shown separately. Sources: BEA, BLS, Census Bureau, Federal Reserve, public high-frequency data.
High Speed vs Official Macro
High-speed series (gold, left axis) shown against the official statistics they lead (dark, right axis). Last 4 years.
Activity Index vs GDP
Weekly vs Quarterly
Activity Index vs GDP. US Activity Index (Weekly): Latest: 55.8 (2 Oct 2026) | Range: 40.2 to 65.1 | Trend: rising; Weekly Economic Index (Weekly): Latest: 2.71 (3 Oct 2026) | Range: 1.07 to 3.76 | Trend: broadly flat; Real GDP QoQ Annualized % (BEA) (Quarterly, %): Latest: 2.20 (30 Jun 2026) | Range: 0.10 to 4.50 | Trend: falling.
US Activity IndexWeekly(L)
Weekly Economic IndexWeekly(L)
Real GDP QoQ Annualized % (BEA)Quarterly(R)
Weekly activity composite (50 = neutral) and the NY Fed Weekly Economic Index against official quarterly GDP growth (annualized).
Daily federal withheld income & employment tax deposits track aggregate wage income, the main driver of retail spending; shown against official retail sales growth.
All United States High-Speed Indicators
Freshness F (29)
55 datasets tracked. 74 series with seasonal factors. Last 5 years shown.
RoboMacro US Activity Index: latest value 55.8 on 2 Oct 2026. Trend: rising.
RoboMacro US Activity Index
55.8
2 Oct 2026
View
Smoothing
Sector
Weekly Economic Index
Weekly
NY Fed / Dallas Fed WEI — scaled to 4-quarter GDP growth (FRED).
Weekly Economic Index. Weekly Economic Index: Latest: 2.71 (3 Oct 2026) | Range: 1.07 to 6.48 | Trend: falling.
Jobless Claims
Weekly
Initial (left) and continued (right) unemployment insurance claims, SA (FRED).
Jobless Claims. Initial jobless claims: Latest: 197,000 (3 Oct 2026) | Range: 189,000 to 269,000 | Trend: falling; Continued jobless claims: Latest: 1,716,000 (26 Sept 2026) | Range: 1,344,000 to 2,199,000 | Trend: falling.
Federal Withheld Tax Deposits
Daily
28-day rolling sum (left, headline) vs daily deposits (right), $M — Daily Treasury Statement. History from Feb 2023.
Federal Withheld Tax Deposits. Federal tax deposits: withheld income & employment taxes ($M, daily): Latest: 26,965 (13 Oct 2026) | Range: 2,152 to 65,935 | Trend: rising; Withheld income & employment tax deposits (28-day rolling sum, $M): Latest: 257,801 (13 Oct 2026) | Range: 194,452 to 388,053 | Trend: falling.
Indeed Job Postings
Daily
Total US job postings, SA, Feb 2020 = 100 (Indeed Hiring Lab).
Indeed Job Postings. Indeed job postings index (US, SA, Feb 2020 = 100): Latest: 104 (9 Oct 2026) | Range: 100 to 161 | Trend: falling.
Petroleum Products Supplied
Weekly
Weekly product supplied, kb/d — total and gasoline (EIA).
Petroleum Products Supplied. US gasoline product supplied (kb/d): Latest: 8,769 (2 Oct 2026) | Range: 7,514 to 9,724 | Trend: falling; US total petroleum products supplied (kb/d): Latest: 20,396 (2 Oct 2026) | Range: 17,627 to 23,191 | Trend: rising.
TSA Checkpoint Travelers
Daily
Daily passengers screened at US airport checkpoints (TSA).
TSA Checkpoint Travelers. TSA checkpoint travelers (daily): Latest: 2,419,474 (14 Oct 2026) | Range: 1,534,786 to 3,096,797 | Trend: rising.
Financial Conditions (NFCI)
Weekly
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index — positive = tighter than average.
Financial Conditions (NFCI). Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index: Latest: -0.50 (9 Oct 2026) | Range: -0.64 to -0.10 | Trend: rising.
United States M2 Money Stock (weekly)
Weekly
United States M2 money stock, weekly ($bn, NSA) (FRED).
United States M2 Money Stock (weekly). United States M2 money stock, weekly ($bn, NSA): Latest: 23,306 (31 Aug 2026) | Range: 20,599 to 23,337 | Trend: rising.
United States Reserve Balances With Federal Reserve
Weekly
United States reserve balances with Federal Reserve banks ($M, weekly) (FRED).
United States Reserve Balances With Federal Reserve. United States reserve balances with Federal Reserve banks ($M, weekly): Latest: 3,029,659 (7 Oct 2026) | Range: 2,830,144 to 4,275,806 | Trend: falling.
United States St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
Weekly
United States St. Louis Fed financial stress index (weekly) (FRED).
United States St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index. United States St. Louis Fed financial stress index (weekly): Latest: -0.72 (9 Oct 2026) | Range: -0.96 to 1.14 | Trend: rising.
United States CBOE Volatility Index VIX
Daily
United States CBOE volatility index VIX (daily) (FRED).
United States CBOE Volatility Index VIX. United States CBOE volatility index VIX (daily): Latest: 15.3 (13 Oct 2026) | Range: 12.0 to 45.3 | Trend: broadly flat.
Coupons and Promo Codes
Weekly
Search interest, weekly — Google Trends, United States.
