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Global Economic Observatory

G10 Inflation Monitor

Monthly consumer price data across the G10 economies, sourced from FRED, IMF, and Eurostat. Updated automatically via the RoboMacro Data API.

USDGBPJPYEURCADAUDNZDCHFSEKNOK

Last refreshed: 1 Nov 2026, 05:32 · Data cached 1 hour

Current Readings

G10 Inflation Snapshot

Headline CPI, 12-month sparkline, deviation from central bank target, core rate, and next release — all in one view. Click column headers to sort.

Inflation rateCB targetTarget on sparkline
#Country ↕12m Trendvs TargetCPI ↕Chg ↕Core ↕Dev ↓Next
1
Eurozone
ECB · 2%
3.8%↑
+0.60pp2.5%+1.8ppToday
2
United States
Federal Reserve · 2%
3.7%↑
+0.30pp2.6%+1.7ppNov 10
3
New Zealand
RBNZ · 2%
3.7%↓
-0.40pp2.5%+1.7ppJan 22
4
United Kingdom
Bank of England · 2%
3.5%↑
+0.40pp2.8%+1.5ppNov 18
5
Australia
RBA · 2.5%
3.9%↓
-0.10pp3.7%+1.4ppNov 24
6
Norway
Norges Bank · 2%
3.4%↑
+0.08pp3.0%+1.4ppNov 10
7
Canada
Bank of Canada · 2%
3.1%↑
+0.09pp2.1%+1.1ppNov 16
8
Japan
Bank of Japan · 2%
2.1%↑
+0.20pp2.1%+0.1ppNov 20
9
Switzerland
SNB · 1%
1.0%↑
+0.20pp0.6%+0.0ppNov 3
10
Sweden
Riksbank · 2%
1.5%↑
+0.80pp—-0.5ppNov 5
Scale (vs target):< −1.5pp−1.5 to −0.5pp±0.25pp (on target)+0.25 to +0.75pp+0.75 to +1.5pp> +1.5pp

Source: national statistics offices via the RoboMacro Data API. Headline is each country’s policy print; core is the local operational measure. Next times are ET. Click column headers to sort.

Monthly Heatmap

12-Month CPI Heatmap

Colour intensity encodes deviation from each country's central bank inflation target. Numbers show the actual YoY% reading.

CountryOct
25
Nov
25
Dec
25
Jan
26
Feb
26
Mar
26
Apr
26
May
26
Jun
26
Jul
26
Aug
26
Sep
26
Latest
US—2.72.72.42.43.33.84.23.53.43.43.73.7%
UK3.63.23.43.03.03.32.82.82.62.93.13.53.5%
JP3.02.92.11.51.31.51.41.51.61.91.92.12.1%
EZ2.12.12.01.71.92.63.03.22.82.93.23.83.8%
CA2.22.22.42.31.82.42.83.22.83.03.03.13.1%
AU3.83.43.83.83.74.14.24.03.93.54.03.93.9%
NZ——0.6——3.1——4.1——3.73.7%
CH0.10.00.10.10.10.30.60.60.50.40.81.01.0%
SE——2.12.01.71.60.81.51.30.70.71.51.5%
NO3.13.03.23.62.73.63.43.12.73.03.33.43.4%
Scale (vs target):< −1.5pp−1.5 to −0.5pp±0.25pp (on target)+0.25 to +0.75pp+0.75 to +1.5pp> +1.5pp

Source: RoboMacro Data API. YoY% change. Colours encode deviation from each country’s inflation target (RBA 2.5%, others typically 2%). Blank cells are unpublished months, not zeros.

Quarterly Trend

G10 Inflation — Quarterly Overview

Quarterly averages of monthly CPI YoY% readings. Toggle countries on/off using the buttons above the chart.

2024 Q32025 Q12025 Q32026 Q12026 Q30%2%4%6%8%
  • US
  • UK
  • JP
  • EZ
  • CA
  • AU
  • NZ
  • CH
  • SE
  • NO

Source: RoboMacro Data API. Quarterly average of monthly YoY% readings. Dashed line at 2% is a typical G10 target — not the RBA’s 2.5% or the SNB’s below-2% objective.

US Inflation Structure

Sticky vs Flexible Price CPI

Atlanta Fed decomposition of US core CPI into sticky-price items (shelter, medical) and flexible-price items (food, energy, used vehicles). Sticky inflation is a more persistent signal; flexible inflation leads by 6–12 months. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta / FRED.

Sticky-Price Core2.8%Sept 26
Flexible-Price Core1.5%Sept 26
BLS Core CPI2.6%Sept 26

Sticky-Price Components

Prices that adjust infrequently — shelter, medical care, education, personal services. Sticky inflation is harder to dislodge and more informative about underlying inflation trend.

Flexible-Price Components

Prices that reprice quickly within core CPI — used vehicles, apparel, airfares. This series already excludes food and energy (Atlanta Fed core flexible). It is more volatile and often leads core inflation by 6–12 months.

Sticky vs Flexible Price CPI Decomposition | Sticky-Price Core: 2.8% (2026-09-01) | Flexible-Price Core: 1.5% (2026-09-01) | BLS Core CPI: 2.6% (2026-09-01) | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta / FRED (St. Louis Fed) | 2% Fed target shown

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta / FRED (St. Louis Fed) · Updated monthly

Input Costs

Commodity Pass-Through to Core CPI

Producer commodity prices (PPI, all commodities) typically lead core consumer inflation by several months as input costs transmit through the supply chain. Both series shown as 12-month percent change. Source: FRED (BLS).

Commodity PPI12.8%Sept 26
Core CPI2.6%Sept 26
Commodity PPI vs Core CPI Pass-Through (year-over-year) | Commodity PPI: 12.8% (2026-09-01) | Core CPI: 2.6% (2026-09-01) | Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed) — BLS PPI & CPI

Producer commodity prices typically lead core consumer inflation by several months. Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed) — BLS PPI & CPI · Updated monthly

Expectations vs Reality

US Inflation Surprise Index

Actual minus consensus (percentage points) for US CPI and PCE releases — positive means inflation came in hotter than economists expected. Recent/rolling window based on the RoboMacro economic calendar.

Latest surprise-0.20pp29 Oct
Releases18
US Inflation Surprise Index (actual minus consensus, percentage points) for CPI and PCE releases | Latest: -0.20pp (2026-10-29) | 18 releases | Positive = hotter than expected | Source: RoboMacro economic calendar (US CPI/PCE releases)

Actual minus consensus for US CPI/PCE releases (positive = hotter than expected). Source: RoboMacro economic calendar (US CPI/PCE releases)

Method

How these readings are built

Headline CPI is the 12-month percent change in the official consumer-price index; core is ex food and energy. Quarterly bars average the monthly YoY readings. Deviation is headline minus the central bank’s stated target, in percentage points. Sticky vs flexible US CPI is the Atlanta Fed split (FRED). The surprise index is actual minus consensus from the RoboMacro calendar, not a model residual. G10 on this page: USD, GBP, JPY, EUR, CAD, AUD, NZD, CHF, SEK, NOK. We do not nowcast the next print here — that sits on the G10 Taylor Rule and hawk/dove monitor. Sources: FRED, IMF IFS, Eurostat HICP, DBnomics, national statistics offices.

G10 Inflation Monitor is updated via the RoboMacro Data API. Monthly notes go out on the 1st.