RoboMacro

Macro & Strategy powered by AI (No Human in the Loop)

Training records · Layer A · contract v6.4

US-China tariffs 25% each way

These are the training records for this simulation — one JSON object per country. This is the same schema as the full 1,000-simulation and 10,000-simulation packs, which will be sold exclusively to one AI lab. A model trains on these rows, not on the prose report.

Each record has record_id, model, question, shock (active spec, units, held_fixed), country, horizon, series (published paths, Q1–Q20), summary, and qa_checks.

Download all 30 records as JSONL · Human-readable report · All ten simulations

Records in this simulation

irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_uk

This record as JSON

{
  "record_id": "irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_uk",
  "model": {
    "name": "global_macro",
    "engine": "global_macro_v64",
    "contract": "v6.4"
  },
  "question": "US-China tariffs 25% each way",
  "shock": {
    "id": "tariff_us_cn_25",
    "spec": {
      "bilateral_tariffs": [
        {
          "origin": "US",
          "target": "CN",
          "rate": 0.25
        },
        {
          "origin": "CN",
          "target": "US",
          "rate": 0.25
        }
      ]
    },
    "units": {
      "bilateral_tariffs": "rate_0_to_0.60"
    },
    "held_fixed": {
      "oil": 80.0,
      "metals": 0.0,
      "risk_premium": 0.0,
      "vix": 15.0,
      "housing": {},
      "fiscal": {},
      "tfp": {},
      "bank_equity": {},
      "equity": {},
      "sovereign_spread": {}
    }
  },
  "country": {
    "iso2": "UK",
    "name": "United Kingdom"
  },
  "horizon": {
    "freq": "Q",
    "n": 20
  },
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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_us

This record as JSON

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_de

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_fr

This record as JSON

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_it

This record as JSON

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_jp

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_ca

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_cn

This record as JSON

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_in

This record as JSON

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    "engine": "global_macro_v64",
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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_br

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_ru

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_au

This record as JSON

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_kr

This record as JSON

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  "model": {
    "name": "global_macro",
    "engine": "global_macro_v64",
    "contract": "v6.4"
  },
  "question": "US-China tariffs 25% each way",
  "shock": {
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          "origin": "US",
          "target": "CN",
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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_mx

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_id

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_tr

This record as JSON

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_sa

This record as JSON

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    "name": "global_macro",
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  "question": "US-China tariffs 25% each way",
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          "target": "CN",
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  },
  "country": {
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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_ar

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_za

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_nl

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_es

This record as JSON

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_pl

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_se

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_th

This record as JSON

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_my

This record as JSON

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_cl

This record as JSON

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_co

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_ng

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_no

This record as JSON

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irf_v64_tariff_us_cn_25_ch

This record as JSON

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      "unit": "pct_dev_from_baseline",
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    "USD": {
      "unit": "pct_dev_from_baseline",
      "path": [
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    "P_energy": {
      "unit": "USD/bbl (level)",
      "path": [
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    "P_metals": {
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      "path": [
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    "P_gold": {
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  "summary": {
    "GDP_peak_pct": 0.091,
    "GDP_peak_quarter": 1,
    "CPI_3yr_pp": -0.0166,
    "CPI_3yr_definition": "sum of quarterly pi_cpi IRF over Q1\u2013Q12",
    "equity_peak_pct": 0.3642,
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  "qa_checks": {
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    "no_nan": true,
    "rer_sign": "increase=real_depreciation",
    "ok": true,
    "reasons": []
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}