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The base case is a hold: the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) keeps the one-week repo rate at 37.0% at the Monetary Policy Committee's 22 October decision, extending a run that has held the rate unchanged since January 2026. T (10/22/2026). AI-generated central-bank decision previews: votes, speeches, and the policy path. Free. Published ahead of scheduled decisions.

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DateNote
10/22/2026The base case is a hold: the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) keeps the one-week repo rate at 37.0% at the Monetary Policy Committee's 22 October decision, extending a run that has held the rate unchanged since January 2026. T
10/21/2026Bank Indonesia is expected to hold the BI-Rate at 5.75% at Wednesday's decision, with the surveyed economist consensus pointing to 6.00% as the live alternative. The hold case rests on September CPI: headline at 3.3% sits inside the 2.5%±1p
10/20/2026The Magyar Nemzeti Bank is expected to hold the base rate at 5.50% at the 20 October sitting, the first policy decision since the 22 September hold. The single most important driver is the inflation picture: headline CPI at 1.6% in Septembe
10/07/2026The Reserve Bank of India is expected to hold the policy repo rate at 5.25% on 7 October and to keep the neutral stance. This is a projection round: the updated inflation and GDP paths are the input that can change the call. Headline CPI ha
09/29/2026The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to raise the cash rate target 25 basis points to 4.60% at the 29 September decision. The single most important driver is trimmed-mean CPI stuck at 3.6% year-on-year, still well above the 2-3% target
09/24/2026Mexico’s Banco de México is expected to hold the overnight interbank interest rate target at 6.5% at this meeting. The single most important driver is the balance of inflation data since the 6 August decision, with headline CPI rebounding m
09/23/2026Bank Indonesia is expected to hold the BI-Rate at its Wednesday decision, in line with surveyed economist consensus. The single most important driver is the combination of the August CPI surprise to the upside and renewed EIA WTI spot-price
09/18/2026Japan’s Bank of Japan is expected to raise the overnight call rate target by 25 basis points to 1.25% at the 17–18 September decision. The single most important driver is underlying inflation now approaching 2 percent on most measures, with
09/17/2026BOE — Policy Preview
09/16/2026The United States Federal Reserve is expected to raise the federal funds target range by 25 bp to 3.75-4.00% at the 16 September decision. The single most important driver is core PCE still 3.3 percent after more than five years above targe
09/10/2026The Monetary Policy Committee is expected to hold the one-week repo rate at 37% at the 10 September decision. The single most important driver is headline CPI, which eased only modestly to 31.5% in August yet remains far above the 5% target
08/20/2026The US–Iran 60-day MoU on Hormuz expired around 16–17 August, putting Brent back above USD 90 in post-expiry trading — a setback risk Hjelm pre-flagged in the June minutes (“With the Memorandum of Understanding due to be signed on Friday, t
08/13/2026The Committee is expected to leave the policy rate at 4.25%, and the July inflation print has all but settled it. Core CPI-ATE held at 2.7% against a 2.9% consensus — a downside surprise, and the second consecutive print at 2.7% after June
08/11/2026The Monetary Policy Board is expected to leave the cash rate target unchanged at 4.35%. The single most important driver is the June CPI, where the trimmed-mean measure printed flat at 3.6% and came in below consensus, easing pressure for a
08/05/2026Executive summary** The Copom is expected to cut the Selic rate by 25 bp to 14.00% tomorrow, in line with surveyed economist consensus. The single most important driver is the run of inflation prints since the June decision that have come i
07/31/2026The Policy Board is expected to hold the overnight call rate target at 1.0% and publish new Outlook Report forecasts that keep the tightening bias from the June statement. The single most important driver is the balance of firming core infl
07/29/2026The FOMC is expected to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50-3.75%. The single most important driver is the hawkish tilt evident in the June minutes and reinforced by the cluster of speeches published since that meeting, in which sev
07/23/2026The Governing Council is expected to hold the deposit facility rate at 2.25%. The single most important driver is the further moderation in HICP and core inflation since the last decision, which has landed in line with consensus and eased p
07/15/2026The Governing Council is expected to leave the policy rate at 2.25%. The single most important driver is the sharp upside surprise in headline CPI to 3.2%, which has pushed the print outside the upper end of the 1-3% band only five weeks af
07/08/2026The MPC is expected to deliver a 25bp hike to 2.50%. The single most important driver is the combination of sticky inflation above the 2% midpoint, a sharp rebound in business confidence, firmer external trade and a 3.2% weaker NZD since th

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