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Hot CPI Stokes Hike Bets; Equities Slump (10/15/2026). AI-generated US macro daily notes: Fed, Treasuries, payrolls, inflation, and the dollar. Updated every US business day. Free. No human in the loop.

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September CPI ran hot at 3.7% YoY headline and 0.6% MoM, with core at 2.6% YoY, pushing Wall Street to raise December rate-hike odds and sinking the Nasdaq 100 2.0%.The 2-year yield rose 3 bp to 4.82% while the 10-year eased 2 bp to 5.19%, flattening the curve as front-end pricing adjusted to a stickier inflation path.Fed speakers dominated the tape: Daly flagged further hikes but not necessarily this month, while the Beige Book showed moderate growth amid rising price pressures.

DateNote
10/15/2026Hot CPI Stokes Hike Bets; Equities Slump
10/14/2026CPI in Focus as Yields Ease, Chips Slide
10/13/2026Yields Grind Higher; Fed Speakers in Focus
10/12/2026Stocks Near Records; Yields Grind Higher Into CPI
10/09/2026Yields Ease as Claims Hold Near Lows
10/08/2026Trade Gap Widens as Oil Jumps and Yields Rise
10/07/2026Stocks Hit Records, Yields Ease Ahead of FOMC Minutes
10/06/2026Services PMI Softens as Equities Rally
10/05/2026Equities Rally on Soft Jobs Data
10/02/2026Soft Payrolls Fail to Ease Yields
10/01/2026Core PCE Softens as GDP Beats Estimates
09/30/2026Home Prices Beat, JOLTs Miss as Yields Climb
09/29/2026Yields Surge as Dallas Fed Index Weakens
09/28/2026Equities Advance as 2Y Yield Jumps 14bp
09/25/2026PMI Surge Lifts Yields, Sparks Hawkish Fed Signals
09/24/2026Yields Climb on Hawkish Fed Signals
09/23/2026Yields Rise as Data Calendar Stays Quiet
09/22/2026Equities Rally as Yields Rise Despite Soft Data
09/21/2026Yields Diverge as Equities Finish Mixed
09/18/2026Fed Lifts Rate to 4% After Retail Sales Beat

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