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Canada Macro Daily

Loonie Jumps, Yields Climb as BoC Hike Odds Build (10/21/2026). AI-generated Canada macro daily notes: Bank of Canada, the loonie, CPI, labour, and the fiscal mix. Free. Updated on Canada business days.

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CAD posts best day in roughly four weeks, USD/CAD sliding 0.43% to 1.40 after Alberta vote; TSX adds 0.50% to 36,108Canada 2Y yield jumps 12 bp to 3.33%, 10Y up 9 bp to 3.93% as markets price a possible BoC hike next weekSeptember CPI at 3.09% YoY keeps inflation above target; PBO projects GDP growth slowing to 0.9% in 2026

DateNote
10/21/2026Loonie Jumps, Yields Climb as BoC Hike Odds Build
10/20/2026Inflation Breach Lifts BoC Hike Bets
10/19/2026Macklem Flags Oil Shock, Global Strain
10/16/2026Macklem Flags Energy Risk as TSX Rallies Hard
10/15/2026Loonie Steadies as Yields Grind Higher
10/14/2026Loonie Firms, Yields Ease as BoC Pause Bets Build
10/13/2026Loonie Steadies Near 1.42 as Oil Slides
10/12/2026Loonie Near 18-Month Low Ahead of Heavy BoC Week
10/09/2026Jobs Report in Focus as Loonie, Yields Steady
10/08/2026Trade Surplus Widens as PMI Slips
10/07/2026Ivey Slumps, Trade Surges; Loonie Steadies
10/06/2026TSX Holds as PMI and Trade Data Loom
10/05/2026TSX Climbs as Yields Fall Ahead of Jobs Data
10/02/2026BoC Flags Limits of Rate Policy for Housing
10/01/2026Flat GDP, Rising Yields Fuel BoC Hike Debate
09/30/2026Canada GDP Stalls, Yields Ease on Flat Print
09/29/2026Canada GDP Print Looms Amid Tariff Risks
09/28/2026TSX Rises as CAD Weakens on Rate Gap
09/25/2026Retail Sales Miss, Oil Slides
09/24/2026BoC Hike Bets Persist as Loonie Weakens

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